Thursday 28 November 2019

News and Opinion agree on the need to woo Leavers

First the news section in today's GRaun:
 Labour will renew its focus on convincing voters in vulnerable seats in the Midlands and the north not to desert it over Brexit in the final fortnight of the election campaign....the party recognises that it now has much more to do to hold constituencies in Brexit-voting areas....[The party] seek to make the election a binary choice [oh no --is that wise?] between Labour and the Tories, in the hope of squeezing the Liberal Democrat vote further.
O Jones's column yesterday,in the Opinion section makes the case (and therefore made todays' news, I suppose?):
Since the campaign began, Labour’s gradual recovery in the polls has been driven by those previously antagonised opponents of Brexit. While its support among remainers has risen by on average 10 points to 44%, among the Lib Dems that figure has slumped seven points to just 26%. A month ago, Jeremy Corbyn’s net favourability among remainers was a dire -33, now recovering to -4; for Jo Swinson, it has plummeted from +13 to -8. 
 Yet Remainers are still not convinced by Corbyn's 'neutrality', and, worse:
Yet there is no question that the chief obstacle to Labour’s electoral ambitions is now on its leave flank. The party’s support has also grown among leavers during this election campaign, but from a derisory level: from 11% to 16%.  ...Labour’s polling in Grimsby – a seat it has held since 1945 – has collapsed from 49% since 2017 to 31%, almost all to the Brexit party, which would allow the Tories to win through the middle....Private research [Labour Party?] suggests that around 80 Labour leave seats are at some risk of being lost to the Tories
Jones might be feeling a twinge of conscience, although on TV he always appears as rather smug and self-satisfied:
Remain campaigners must acknowledge their own faults, too. After the referendum defeat, a wise – and dare it be said, a rather obvious – political strategy would have been to seek to persuade leave voters of the case for another referendum. With honourable exceptions, this did not happen....Brexit was treated as a self-evident national catastrophe, while remainers who accepted the referendum result – let alone leavers – were conceived of as malign dupes. Some treated the result as illegitimate, stolen through illicit means and foreign meddling.
if the party cannot attract support from voters from across the referendum divide, Johnson will secure his majority and a hard Brexit [bring back 'crashing out' and 'chaos' before it is too late?] is just weeks away.

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